Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-0
NS Mura vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
1 - 1
BRA
53%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 1
NSM
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FCK
3 - 2
NSM
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 0
LUD
38%
25%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 3
TAS
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
ZAL
1 - 3
FTC
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
FTC
2 - 0
ZAL
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
ZAL
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ZAL
3 - 1
LIN
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
TRA
0 - 0
ZAL
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |