Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-5
NS Mura vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
ZAL
0 - 1
NSM
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 1
NSM
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 0
ZAL
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
1 - 1
BRA
53%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 1
NSM
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LAS
1 - 3
STR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
STR
3 - 1
ALT
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
SVW
2 - 1
STR
5%
13%
82%
|
81 | 28 | 53 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
WOL
1 - 4
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
UDI
2 - 3
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |