NS Mura vs Radomlje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
9º
7º
33
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NSM
0 - 2
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
NSM
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NSM
2 - 0
BIS
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 0
NSM
29%
25%
47%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 5
TSG
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Radomlje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
ALU
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 3
OLI
29%
25%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
RAD
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NKP
0 - 3
RAD
27%
22%
51%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 1
RNB
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |