NS Mura vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
9º
6º
3
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
3 | 62 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 53 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 51 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 48 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
1º
|
3 | 45 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
14% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 0
NSM
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ZTE
3 - 1
NSM
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
STR
2 - 2
NSM
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
NSM
0 - 2
RUZ
39%
25%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
NSM
1 - 2
MTK
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NKP
3 - 2
DOM
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
NKP
1 - 1
DZG
22%
22%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
IST
3 - 1
NKP
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RIJ
2 - 1
NKP
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 4
PET
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |