NS Mura vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
NSM
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NSM
1 - 2
FCK
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 2
NSM
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
NSM
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NSM
3 - 2
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
ALU
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 2
BRA
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 0
ALU
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
TAS
1 - 1
ALU
44%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
ALU
3 - 3
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |