Mura 05 vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ALU
0 - 0
MUR
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 0
TOL
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MUR
2 - 0
BKO
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SEN
2 - 0
MUR
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 1
KRS
67%
19%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 1
BKO
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SEN
1 - 0
TRI
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
TRI
2 - 1
KRS
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
IVA
2 - 1
TRI
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
TRI
2 - 2
ZAG
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |