Municipal vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
2º
27
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 1
ZAC
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
3 - 1
MUN
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
MUN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
4 - 1
ACH
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
MUN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
COB
1 - 0
ZAC
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 2
COB
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COB
2 - 5
XIN
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
COB
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
COB
3 - 0
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |