Municipal vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
11º
1º
22
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 0
XIN
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
MUN
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 2
MIX
59%
23%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
COB
0 - 1
CHI
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
COB
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
COB
2 - 0
IZT
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 0
COB
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COB
0 - 0
GUA
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |