Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
10º
5º
27
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ONC
0 - 0
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
0 - 0
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 0
MUN
25%
27%
49%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 4
ALI
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
MUN
5%
11%
85%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 2
ONC
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MET
0 - 0
CDC
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
FUE
34%
25%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 2
CDC
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 0
AGU
25%
29%
46%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | +1 |