Muleño CF vs Alcantarilla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
16º
15º
25
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BUL
2 - 0
MUL
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MUL
2 - 2
UCA
23%
25%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RMC
2 - 1
MUL
74%
17%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
MUL
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MUL
1 - 3
MIN
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 0
LAU
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALC
84%
12%
4%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 2
MSM
37%
26%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PUL
1 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |