Muleño CF vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
15º
12º
34
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
MUL
0 - 1
PUL
36%
26%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RMC
0 - 3
MUL
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 0
MIN
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
MUL
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MUL
0 - 2
IMP
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 0
UDL
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
CAR
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
CAR
17%
23%
61%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
5 - 0
MIN
70%
20%
11%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 3
MIN
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |