Muleño CF vs Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
55.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
AGU
1 - 0
MUL
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MUL
0 - 2
IND
14%
21%
65%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
MUL
81%
14%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MUL
1 - 2
BAL
22%
26%
52%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PIN
2 - 1
MUL
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CAL
2 - 1
LOR
22%
24%
55%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CAL
1 - 0
JUM
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAL
83%
11%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
CAL
3 - 2
IND
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAL
75%
15%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |