Muggio vs Crespi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CIT
2 - 2
MUG
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MUG
2 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COB
0 - 3
MUG
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MUG
5 - 1
CRI
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MUG
1 - 0
CEN
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Crespi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 1
CIN
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 2
SPE
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CIT
3 - 0
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CRE
2 - 2
CAR
13%
18%
69%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CRE
3 - 2
CRI
19%
21%
61%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |