MTV Dannenberg vs Ahlerstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
77.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Dannenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
THA
1 - 0
MTV
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SEL
5 - 1
MTV
85%
11%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MTL
5 - 1
MTV
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BWB
2 - 0
MTV
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MTV
0 - 5
SVD
15%
18%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
AHO
2 - 0
MTL
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AHO
0 - 3
BWB
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SVD
1 - 1
AHO
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AHO
2 - 0
TZE
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CUX
1 - 0
AHO
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -3 |