Hohenwestedt vs SV Preußen Reinfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
13º
47
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
EIC
3 - 0
HOH
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HOH
2 - 6
UNI
10%
14%
76%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
HEI
4 - 1
HOH
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ALT
2 - 1
HOH
48%
20%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HOH
0 - 1
SVE
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SV Preußen Reinfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 1
VFR
45%
21%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 3
PRR
68%
16%
16%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PRR
1 - 3
BOR
36%
22%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
PRR
2 - 3
WEF
35%
22%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
KRO
4 - 0
PRR
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -2 |