Hohenwestedt vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
15º
7º
13
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 1
HOH
79%
12%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 1
HEI
20%
18%
62%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
HOH
2 - 1
ECK
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FLE
4 - 3
HOH
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 1
LUB
20%
19%
61%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VHG
7 - 0
DOR
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 7
LUB
7%
14%
80%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUB
0 - 1
DOR
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
NOR
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 1
WEF
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |