Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 5-2
MTK Budapest vs Jokerit Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
MTK
6 - 0
NAG
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
PEC
0 - 3
MTK
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
MTK
2 - 1
DVS
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
DVS
3 - 1
MTK
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
MTK
3 - 1
DVT
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Jokerit Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2000 |
JOK
1 - 1
FCJ
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
ROP
2 - 3
JOK
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
JOK
2 - 2
MYP
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
JOK
0 - 2
VAA
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
JOK
1 - 2
KOO
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |