MTK Budapest vs Diósgyőr VTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
6º
5º
44
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KTE
5 - 0
MTK
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MTK
0 - 2
DVS
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FTC
0 - 0
MTK
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MTK
3 - 0
TAT
87%
9%
4%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 1
MTK
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
DIO
1 - 2
NYI
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ZTE
2 - 1
DIO
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DIO
1 - 1
UJP
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
DIO
1 - 0
LNZ
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
HIF
3 - 1
DIO
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |