MTK Budapest II vs Főnix Gold FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
14º
10º
21
7º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 23 |
12º
|
90.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 77.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
PEC
1 - 2
MTK
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MTK
11 - 1
FCD
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BVO
5 - 1
MTK
39%
23%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MTK
5 - 0
GVC
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MTK
1 - 0
SZE
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Főnix Gold FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
FOG
0 - 2
IVA
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NAG
7 - 0
FOG
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 55 | 45 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FOG
0 - 3
KAP
16%
21%
64%
|
10 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
PTE
0 - 1
FOG
83%
12%
6%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FOG
0 - 1
MSE
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | -1 |