Mtibwa Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
MTI
3 - 1
GGF
32%
28%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
MTI
3 - 0
KAG
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
POL
3 - 1
MTI
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
MTI
43%
30%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
AZA
2 - 1
MTI
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 1
COA
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
SIM
6 - 1
POL
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 0
RUV
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAM
1 - 1
SIM
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WYD
1 - 0
SIM
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -2 |