Mtibwa Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 0
RUV
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
MTI
2 - 1
RUV
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 1
YOU
26%
30%
45%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
KMC
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 0
AZA
26%
30%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
IFC
1 - 2
SIM
14%
26%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
POL
1 - 2
SIM
10%
26%
64%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
COA
0 - 0
SIM
13%
25%
62%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SIM
5 - 1
AFC
86%
10%
3%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 3
MBA
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |