Mtibwa Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
59.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
LFC
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
RUV
1 - 0
MTI
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
YOU
1 - 0
MTI
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 1
MTI
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
KMC
2 - 0
MTI
42%
30%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
SIM
0 - 1
JKT
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 1
POL
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 0
COA
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
SIM
3 - 2
NAM
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 4
SIM
13%
25%
62%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |