Mtibwa Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+119%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
MTI
1 - 0
MMA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
NDA
0 - 2
MTI
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RUV
1 - 1
MTI
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MTI
1 - 0
MBE
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
MWA
2 - 3
MTI
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
RUV
0 - 1
SIM
34%
30%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 0
JKT
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NDA
0 - 2
SIM
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
TAN
2 - 1
SIM
38%
31%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AFR
1 - 0
SIM
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |