Mtibwa Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
JKT
1 - 2
MTI
40%
29%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TOT
1 - 1
MTI
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
MTI
1 - 1
KAG
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
COA
3 - 1
MTI
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MTI
1 - 2
JKT
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
SIM
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SIM
3 - 1
AZA
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
JKT
0 - 0
SIM
35%
29%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
SIM
2 - 2
KAG
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
COA
0 - 0
SIM
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |