Mtibwa Sugar vs Ndanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
JKT
0 - 0
MTI
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MTI
0 - 1
LFC
40%
31%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
MBE
1 - 0
MTI
33%
30%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
TAN
2 - 0
MTI
33%
31%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
MTI
2 - 0
AZA
22%
29%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Ndanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
NDA
2 - 1
JKT
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
NDA
0 - 1
RUV
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2019 |
MWA
3 - 0
NDA
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
LFC
0 - 0
NDA
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NDA
1 - 0
AFR
47%
29%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |