Mtibwa Sugar vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 0
MTI
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
MTI
0 - 0
AZA
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
MBE
1 - 1
MTI
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TAN
0 - 0
MTI
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MTI
0 - 0
YOU
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
MMA
3 - 0
MWA
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
4 - 2
NDA
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 2
JKT
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AFR
1 - 0
MWA
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -4 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AZA
2 - 0
MWA
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |