Mtibwa Sugar vs Maji Maji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
MTI
1 - 0
POL
57%
24%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
AFR
1 - 2
MTI
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
MTI
3 - 0
ASH
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
RUV
0 - 1
MTI
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
MTI
0 - 4
AZA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Maji Maji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
AFR
2 - 2
MMA
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MMA
0 - 1
JKT
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MMA
1 - 2
SIM
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 0
MMA
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
KAG
0 - 0
MMA
57%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |