Mtibwa Sugar vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
38.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MTI
2 - 0
GGF
30%
31%
39%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 0
MTI
40%
30%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MKF
1 - 2
MTI
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
MTI
0 - 2
YOU
25%
30%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NAM
3 - 1
MTI
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MBE
0 - 1
KAG
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
KAG
1 - 1
NAM
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
YOU
3 - 0
KAG
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
POL
0 - 0
KAG
37%
31%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
KAG
2 - 1
COA
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |