Mtibwa Sugar vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
5 - 0
MTI
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 0
MTI
67%
21%
11%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MTI
0 - 2
GFC
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
MTI
0 - 0
BUM
32%
32%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
YOU
1 - 0
MTI
68%
20%
11%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
MBE
0 - 0
KAG
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DJF
0 - 0
KAG
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 1
NAM
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 2
AZA
32%
30%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
KMC
3 - 0
KAG
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |