Mtibwa Sugar vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 1
NAM
21%
28%
51%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
2 - 0
NDA
43%
30%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MBE
1 - 0
MTI
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
TAN
0 - 0
MTI
51%
29%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
JKT
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 3
MBE
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 1
TAN
41%
31%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
JKT
1 - 0
KAG
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
SIM
1 - 0
KAG
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 0
MBA
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |