Mtibwa Sugar vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
27%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
SUN
2 - 1
MTI
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MBA
1 - 0
MTI
39%
30%
31%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MTI
1 - 1
KMC
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
MTI
2 - 1
BUM
41%
30%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
MTI
1 - 0
MWA
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
COA
1 - 1
KAG
27%
32%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LFC
0 - 1
KAG
46%
30%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
KAG
0 - 0
RUV
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
KAG
0 - 0
KMC
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
KAG
3 - 1
NDA
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |