Mtibwa Sugar vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MTI
1 - 1
AZA
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
JKT
1 - 0
MTI
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
MTI
2 - 0
AFR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
MTI
1 - 0
JKT
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
MTI
2 - 2
TOT
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MBE
0 - 0
KAG
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TAN
0 - 1
KAG
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 1
RUV
50%
29%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
POL
1 - 0
KAG
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 0
TOT
57%
27%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |