Mtibwa Sugar vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
JKT
1 - 0
MTI
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
COA
1 - 1
MTI
42%
27%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MTI
2 - 0
AFR
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
ASH
1 - 1
MTI
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
MTI
1 - 1
RUV
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JKT
2 - 2
KAG
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
KAG
1 - 1
VSQ
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KAG
0 - 0
RUV
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
KAG
0 - 0
ASH
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 0
KAG
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |