Mtibwa Sugar vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
MTI
1 - 1
YOU
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
POL
0 - 0
MTI
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MMA
0 - 1
MTI
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
KAG
1 - 0
AZA
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
KAG
1 - 0
RUV
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
KAG
0 - 1
JKT
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |