Mtibwa Sugar vs JKT Mgambo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 0
MTI
35%
30%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MBE
2 - 2
MTI
38%
30%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MTI
4 - 1
MWA
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MTI
1 - 0
KAG
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
JKT
0 - 0
MTI
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
JKT Mgambo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MBE
1 - 1
JKT
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
JKT
0 - 0
YOU
21%
28%
52%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
JKT
0 - 1
SUN
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
TOT
1 - 0
JKT
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
MWA
3 - 1
JKT
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |