Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
SIM
2 - 0
MTI
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
RUV
2 - 0
MTI
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
DJF
38%
29%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 0
JKT
40%
29%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 0
KMC
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Singida Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
RUV
0 - 2
IFC
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
SIM
4 - 0
IFC
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
IFC
0 - 3
YOU
24%
30%
46%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
IFC
1 - 0
KMC
36%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
IFC
2 - 1
KAG
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |