Mtibwa Sugar vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
MTI
2 - 4
SIM
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
MTI
3 - 1
GGF
32%
28%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
MTI
3 - 0
KAG
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
POL
3 - 1
MTI
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
MTI
43%
30%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
DJF
2 - 1
COA
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 1
COA
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
COA
0 - 2
AZA
28%
30%
42%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
IFC
34%
31%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
MTI
43%
30%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |