Mtibwa Sugar vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
KMC
1 - 0
MTI
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
BUM
2 - 1
MTI
42%
28%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
MWA
1 - 0
MTI
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
MTI
1 - 1
AFR
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
MTI
0 - 0
NDA
53%
27%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
COA
1 - 1
AZA
16%
29%
55%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 1
COA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
MBA
0 - 1
COA
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
COA
1 - 1
RUV
32%
30%
39%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
COA
1 - 1
YOU
16%
26%
58%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |