Mthatha Bucks vs Black Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mthatha Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COS
1 - 0
MTH
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MTH
2 - 2
AMA
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
WIT
0 - 1
MTH
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MTH
3 - 1
SFC
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
EAG
3 - 1
MTH
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Black Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
4 - 0
MIL
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
BLA
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
COS
44%
27%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 1
BLA
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SFC
0 - 1
BLA
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |