Mtarfa vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
QOR
1 - 2
MTA
39%
22%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MTA
1 - 3
ZUR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MTA
0 - 1
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MDI
1 - 3
MTA
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MTA
0 - 3
MSI
74%
15%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ZAB
1 - 2
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MDI
0 - 2
ZAB
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ZAB
2 - 1
KIR
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VEN
0 - 4
ZAB
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SIG
4 - 0
ZAB
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |