Mtarfa vs Siggiewi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 3
MTA
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 5
MTA
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MTA
2 - 1
MEL
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 8
MTA
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MTA
7 - 0
MDI
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Siggiewi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SIG
1 - 1
XGH
22%
23%
55%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 1
SIG
58%
21%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SIG
3 - 2
KAL
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MEL
4 - 0
SIG
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SIG
0 - 3
PAT
4%
11%
85%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |