Mtarfa vs Qrendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
XGH
1 - 2
MTA
53%
20%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SIG
0 - 4
MTA
21%
21%
59%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MTA
4 - 0
VEN
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ATT
5 - 2
MTA
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MTA
0 - 0
VIT
47%
21%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Qrendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
QRE
3 - 0
SIG
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 1
QRE
9%
15%
77%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
QRE
3 - 0
KAL
48%
23%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
QRE
2 - 2
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
QRE
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |