Mtarfa vs Mqabba FC analysis

Mtarfa Mqabba FC
39 ELO 40
-1.8% Tilt -2.4%
5274º General ELO ranking 18755º
37º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
39.5%
Mtarfa
24.3%
Draw
36.2%
Mqabba FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
Mtarfa
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.2%
Win probability
Mqabba FC
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Mtarfa
Their league position
Mqabba FC
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
18º
16º
15
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sliema Wanderers
47
47
100%
Naxxar Lions FC
41
41
100%
Zejtun Corinthians FC
33
33
100%
Tarxien Rainbows
32
32
100%
Zurrieq FC
29
29
100%
Melita
26
26
100%
Fgura United FC
25
25
100%
Marsa FC
24
24
100%
Swieqi United
24
24
100%
Saint Andrews
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Lija
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Attard
12º
19
19
12º
100%
San Gwann
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Marsaskala
14º
15
15
14º
0%
Mqabba FC
15º
15
15
15º
0%
Mtarfa
17º
14
14
16º
100%
Qrendi
16º
14
14
17º
100%
Vittoriosa Stars
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mtarfa
Mqabba FC
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Mtarfa
Mqabba FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mtarfa
Mtarfa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2022
ZEJ
Zejtun Corinthians FC
0 - 1
Mtarfa
MTA
84%
11%
5%
37 57 20 0
18 Dec. 2022
MTA
Mtarfa
2 - 3
Qrendi
QRE
47%
22%
32%
38 38 0 -1
15 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marsa FC
2 - 0
Mtarfa
MTA
77%
15%
8%
38 50 12 0
10 Dec. 2022
MTA
Mtarfa
1 - 3
Sliema Wanderers
SLI
18%
24%
58%
39 59 20 -1
03 Dec. 2022
VIT
Vittoriosa Stars
3 - 0
Mtarfa
MTA
34%
21%
45%
40 34 6 -1

Matches

Mqabba FC
Mqabba FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2022
MQA
Mqabba FC
3 - 3
Marsaskala
MAR
38%
24%
39%
41 45 4 0
18 Dec. 2022
TAR
Tarxien Rainbows
1 - 2
Mqabba FC
MQA
84%
11%
5%
39 57 18 +2
14 Dec. 2022
MQA
Mqabba FC
1 - 0
Zurrieq FC
ZUR
18%
22%
60%
38 52 14 +1
10 Dec. 2022
SWI
Swieqi United
5 - 5
Mqabba FC
MQA
67%
19%
14%
38 47 9 0
03 Dec. 2022
MQA
Mqabba FC
1 - 2
Lija
LIJ
21%
20%
59%
39 47 8 -1