Mtarfa vs Melita analysis

Mtarfa Melita
46 ELO 53
-1.3% Tilt 2.1%
5274º General ELO ranking 2247º
37º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
25.4%
Mtarfa
23.5%
Draw
51.1%
Melita

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
Mtarfa
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.1%
Win probability
Melita
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mtarfa
-12%
-39%
Melita

Points and table prediction

Mtarfa
Their league position
Melita
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
18º
16º
26
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sliema Wanderers
47
47
100%
Naxxar Lions FC
41
41
100%
Zejtun Corinthians FC
33
33
100%
Tarxien Rainbows
32
32
100%
Zurrieq FC
29
29
100%
Melita
26
26
100%
Fgura United FC
25
25
100%
Marsa FC
24
24
100%
Swieqi United
24
24
100%
Saint Andrews
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Lija
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Attard
12º
19
19
12º
100%
San Gwann
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Marsaskala
14º
15
15
14º
0%
Mqabba FC
15º
15
15
15º
0%
Mtarfa
17º
14
14
16º
100%
Qrendi
16º
14
14
17º
100%
Vittoriosa Stars
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mtarfa
Melita
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Mtarfa
Melita
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mtarfa
Mtarfa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2022
SAN
San Gwann
1 - 0
Mtarfa
MTA
64%
20%
16%
46 53 7 0
16 Apr. 2022
MTA
Mtarfa
4 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
67%
19%
14%
46 37 9 0
13 Apr. 2022
ZAB
Zabbar St. Patrick
2 - 3
Mtarfa
MTA
54%
23%
23%
45 48 3 +1
09 Apr. 2022
BIR
Birzebbuga St. Peters FC
1 - 3
Mtarfa
MTA
34%
25%
41%
44 40 4 +1
03 Apr. 2022
MTA
Mtarfa
3 - 1
Msida St Joseph
MSI
68%
19%
13%
44 35 9 0

Matches

Melita
Melita
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
MEL
Melita
2 - 1
Marsaskala
MAR
59%
22%
19%
53 47 6 0
29 Jul. 2022
SLI
Sliema Wanderers
3 - 0
Melita
MEL
41%
25%
34%
53 53 0 0
09 Apr. 2022
RAB
Rabat Ajax
1 - 2
Melita
MEL
18%
22%
60%
53 39 14 0
12 Mar. 2022
MEL
Melita
1 - 3
Zejtun Corinthians FC
ZEJ
33%
26%
41%
54 56 2 -1
05 Mar. 2022
MEL
Melita
3 - 0
Vittoriosa Stars
VIT
73%
17%
10%
54 38 16 0