Mtarfa vs Marsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 1
MTA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MTA
1 - 1
PIE
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SWI
0 - 0
MTA
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MTA
0 - 3
SLU
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 0
MTA
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PIE
1 - 0
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
SWI
47%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZUR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LIJ
1 - 3
MAR
23%
22%
54%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
SIR
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |