Mtarfa vs Birzebbuga St. Peters FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MQA
0 - 3
MTA
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MTA
4 - 0
RAB
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
QRE
0 - 1
MTA
59%
20%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MTA
3 - 0
XGH
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
MTA
4 - 1
SIG
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 0
SIG
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 3
BIR
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BIR
7 - 1
KAL
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 2
BIR
18%
22%
59%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BIR
3 - 1
PAT
24%
21%
55%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |