Mt. Wellington vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt. Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
CAN
0 - 0
MTW
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 2
MTW
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MTW
1 - 1
WAI
62%
21%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MTW
4 - 2
TCU
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
NAP
4 - 0
MTW
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
WAI
1 - 4
MAN
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
NAP
5 - 2
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 3
TCU
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
NSH
4 - 1
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
CAN
3 - 1
MAN
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |