Mt. Wellington vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt. Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
MTW
0 - 4
MIR
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
MET
1 - 3
MTW
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
MTW
2 - 1
WAI
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CHR
0 - 1
MTW
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
MTW
1 - 2
NAP
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
MAN
3 - 0
NAP
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
WAI
5 - 1
MAN
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
MAN
2 - 1
TCU
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
MET
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
MAN
2 - 2
CEN
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |