Mt. Wellington vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt. Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
TCU
4 - 1
MTW
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2001 |
MTW
1 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
MTW
0 - 4
MIR
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
MET
1 - 3
MTW
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
MTW
2 - 1
WAI
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
MAN
1 - 0
DUN
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 0
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 2
WAI
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
MIR
3 - 1
DUN
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
DUN
8 - 1
NAP
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |