MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
MSV
6 - 2
LOM
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
VFB
1 - 5
MSV
17%
21%
62%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MSV
1 - 4
PRE
36%
23%
41%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SON
0 - 6
MSV
11%
18%
71%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
HIB
0 - 0
MSV
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SVS
1 - 0
STU
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
FRE
5 - 1
STU
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
STU
1 - 4
FCA
30%
22%
48%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SWB
1 - 1
STU
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
TSV
1 - 6
STU
8%
13%
79%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |